Tools
Kelly Criterion Calculator
Optimal bet size as a fraction of bankroll. Quarter-Kelly recommended.
Inputs
%
Your or BaseCase's de-vigged estimate
$
Kelly fraction
BaseCase defaults to quarter-Kelly for variance reduction.
Results
Quarter-Kelly stake
$352.27
3.52% of bankroll
Full Kelly fraction
14.09%
Theoretical maximum
Expected value
+15.50%
Per dollar wagered
Edge
+7.38 pp
See live edges with quarter-Kelly sizing
The Edge Finder computes Kelly for every detected +EV opportunity, capped per-game to prevent correlated overexposure.